Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000177 0.000196 0.000217 0.000241 0.000268 0.000298 0.000333
2025-03-16 0.000134 0.000161 0.000192 0.000230 0.000278 0.000335 0.000410
2025-03-23 0.000114 0.000144 0.000181 0.000231 0.000298 0.000384 0.000504
2025-03-30 0.000102 0.000135 0.000178 0.000239 0.000325 0.000443 0.000619
2025-04-06 0.000089 0.000122 0.000167 0.000234 0.000332 0.000474 0.000700
2025-04-13 0.000077 0.000109 0.000153 0.000222 0.000328 0.000487 0.000753
2025-04-20 0.000071 0.000102 0.000149 0.000223 0.000341 0.000527 0.000854
2025-04-27 0.000066 0.000099 0.000148 0.000228 0.000361 0.000581 0.000983
2025-05-04 0.000061 0.000093 0.000142 0.000226 0.000370 0.000615 0.001086
2025-05-11 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000228 0.000384 0.000661 0.001215
2025-05-18 0.000053 0.000084 0.000135 0.000226 0.000392 0.000696 0.001329
2025-05-25 0.000050 0.000081 0.000132 0.000226 0.000403 0.000737 0.001459
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000077 0.000128 0.000225 0.000412 0.000778 0.001602
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000071 0.000120 0.000215 0.000405 0.000787 0.001680
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000068 0.000118 0.000216 0.000419 0.000841 0.001870
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000067 0.000119 0.000224 0.000446 0.000927 0.002155
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000063 0.000114 0.000219 0.000447 0.000955 0.002301
2025-07-06 0.000032 0.000058 0.000106 0.000208 0.000433 0.000948 0.002355
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000056 0.000104 0.000209 0.000446 0.001005 0.002590
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000213 0.000468 0.001087 0.002918
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000212 0.000475 0.001133 0.003151
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000213 0.000489 0.001202 0.003469
2025-08-10 0.000026 0.000050 0.000098 0.000212 0.000496 0.001250 0.003735